+23478089419922

EDO POLLS: Yiaga Africa Predict Low Voter Turnout in a Competitive Race

The Edo State gubernatorial election is scheduled for September 21, 2024. With campaigns ongoing across most of the local government areas in the state and contending parties showcasing their political popularity, the election is expected to be competitive. In contrast to the 2020 Edo Governorship election, the All Progressive Congress (APC), the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), and the Labour Party (LP) are the three main political parties running for the governorship race. The Labour Party’s prominence grew with the 2023 general election driven by the emergence of Peter Obi in the presidential race. While Edo State is historically a PDP state, the emergence of the APC in the 2015 electoral cycle shifted the political dynamics in the state and elevated the competition to a contest for political power between the APC and PDP. For the 2024 governor election, the projected growing influence of the Labour Party (LP) has its impact on the political climate as party candidates prepare for the Edo State off-cycle 2024 Governorship Election. Although it is uncertain whether the rise of new political players will impact the politics of 2024, it is however certain that Edo politics follows its unique template. Unlike some states where a political party’s influence is paramount, in Edo beyond the influence of a political party, the politics for the governorship election can be impacted by the influence of candidates/political personalities with other enabling factors. For instance, the incumbent governor of Edo State; Mr Godwin Obaseki was first elected under the APC in 2016 before decamping to the PDP ahead of the 2020 governorship election when he gained reelection. As observed in the pre-election environment, intra-party conflicts have forced some political alignment and re-alignments laying a groundwork for the 2024 election, in which current political realignments and historical allegiances may be pivotal factors. 

Version1.0
Category